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2026 Midyear Investment Outlook: Constructive, not complacent
AI infrastructure investment is boosting the outlook for risk assets, particularly U.S. equities, despite geopolitical risks. Credit markets could face challenges as companies increase bond issuance.
2026 Midyear Economic Outlook: AI drives resilient growth
Growth softens in the second half of 2026, hurt by higher energy prices, but recovers in 2027 in a baseline outlook that includes a resolution of the oil supply shock.
Iran conflict: Seven takeaways for investors
Prolonged conflict with Iran could lead to higher oil prices, hotter inflation and greater market uncertainty.
Who is leading the global AI race?
The U.S. and China are in a race for AI dominance. Here’s how each country stacks up, along with opportunities for investors across the AI ecosystem.
7 political trends investors should watch in 2026
Discover how major policy moves in Washington could affect the economy, markets and your portfolio.
Latest Active Trader Commentary:
E*TRADE's Active Trader Commentary is updated each day with a curated list of earnings announcements, IPOs, economic reports, and other market events.
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2026 Outlook
See where the markets are going and how investors might respond. From Morgan Stanley’s thought leaders.
06/17/26
The Federal Reserve’s fourth policy meeting of 2026 ended with interest rates where they were at the beginning of the year.
06/01/26
Continued tech strength overrode geopolitical issues and concerns about rising yields in May.
05/26/26
AI infrastructure investment is boosting the outlook for risk assets, particularly U.S. equities, despite geopolitical risks. Credit markets could face challenges as companies increase bond issuance.
05/26/26
Growth softens in the second half of 2026, hurt by higher energy prices, but recovers in 2027 in a baseline outlook that includes a resolution of the oil supply shock.
05/01/26
The US market recaptured record highs last month as investors appeared to discount geopolitics and put a premium on tech.
04/29/26
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the third time this year.
04/01/26
Market down—but not out—last month despite Iran war and surging energy prices.
03/18/26
Discover how major policy moves in Washington could affect the economy, markets and your portfolio.
03/18/26
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the second meeting in a row.
03/04/26
The U.S. and China are in a race for AI dominance. Here’s how each country stacks up, along with opportunities for investors across the AI ecosystem.
03/03/26
Prolonged conflict with Iran could lead to higher oil prices, hotter inflation and greater market uncertainty.
03/02/26
US stocks slip in February as investors navigate AI and tariff headlines—along with new geopolitical turmoil.
02/03/26
Inflation could stay higher for longer than many expect. Things to consider for your portfolio.
02/02/26
US stocks rallied modestly in January despite political volatility, but commodities may have been the most notable market story.
01/28/26
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged after its first meeting of 2026.
01/02/26
US stocks mostly underperformed their international counterparts in 2025, but are still coming off a solid year.
12/10/25
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates for a third meeting in row, but hedged its bets regarding additional cuts.
12/01/25
The AI trade pumped the brakes in November—but the pullback was arguably a healthy development.
11/03/25
AI drove tech, and tech drove the stock market in October.
10/29/25
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates for the second meeting in row, but said additional cuts aren't a "foregone conclusion."
10/27/25
As AI helps speed development of new medicines and create efficiencies in hospital care, trillions of dollars in savings may be possible by 2050.
10/03/25
Supply constraints and affordability challenges are remaking the U.S. housing landscape. Where can investors look for growth?
10/01/25
Megacap tech was the standout in September’s breakout rally, which barely paused as a government shutdown approached.
10/01/25
The U.S. government has shut down amid partisan strife. Here are the answers to investors’ top three questions.
09/17/25
The Federal Reserve cut rates for the first time since December 2024.
09/02/25
Stocks rode earnings and rate-cut expectations to more records in August, but there was a change in market leadership.
08/22/25
Ways to help limit the effect of taxes on gains from your portfolio.
08/20/25
Though the outlook on oil may be uncertain amid recent price fluctuations, there are still compelling investments in energy.
08/18/25
After years of market dominance, US equities face rising challenges. Here’s how to prepare for a global market rebalancing.
08/15/25
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act delivers a lower corporate tax burden that could boost certain US equity sectors, but it also raises concerns over rising US deficits and higher rates.
08/01/25
Stocks kicked off the second half of the year on a strong note amid signs of progress on the trade front, but also as evidence of an economic slowdown continued.
07/30/25
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the fifth time this year, although the decision wasn’t unanimous.
07/01/25
The stock market’s return to all-time highs has grabbed headlines, but continued bond market outperformance could be the story of the second half of the year.
06/25/25
Learn how to spot—and potentially avoid—common mistakes that some investors make in a market sell-off.
06/24/25
The rise of "embodied AI" – robots that move and interact with the physical world—heralds a new era of innovation. Morgan Stanley looks into how this tech explosion is transforming industries and creating new markets.
06/05/25
A stable global economy is likely to benefit equity and fixed-income markets, though increased uncertainty around U.S. tariffs and immigration policy could jeopardize markets’ recent gains.
06/05/25
Global growth is likely to slow in 2025 and 2026 as the shock of higher US tariffs crimps demand around the world.
06/02/25
The rise of "embodied AI" – robots that move and interact with the physical world—heralds a new era of innovation. Morgan Stanley looks into how this tech explosion is transforming industries and creating new markets.
06/02/25
What could drive stocks in the near future as they attempt to extend their rally into mid-year?
05/30/25
Discover how governmental deregulation efforts could spur economic and market gains in select industries.
05/07/25
The Fed’s pause continued despite continued White House pressure to cut rates.
04/22/25
Software and Internet companies are likely to see their revenue from generative AI rise more than 20-fold over the next three years, with a positive return on investment as soon as 2025.
04/16/25
The Trump administration’s pause on reciprocal tariffs brought relief to markets, but economic risks still loom large. What should investors do now?
04/09/25
Soaring tariffs have triggered market mayhem. How can you help minimize the bite to your portfolio?
04/03/25
President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement has deeply shaken markets. What should investors expect next?
02/25/25
Rising technology innovation coupled with global defense initiatives could unlock hundreds of billions more in spending, benefiting a variety of economic sectors. Where can investors find opportunities?
01/24/25
Here’s how the top policy changes coming out of Washington in 2025 may impact your investments.
01/22/25
Revolutionary ways to prevent and treat disease can add decades to people’s lives. Here’s what investors should know about the opportunities in the longevity theme.
12/12/24
New investment strategies, demand for resources and more stringent regulations are shaping the next decade of sustainable investing.
12/11/24
With teens and young adults facing a mental health crisis, “stigma” is often blamed for young people’s reluctance to reach out for help. However, recent research finds other barriers—and steps to help overcome them.
06/26/26
One tech stock’s gain appeared to be another’s loss on Thursday.
06/24/26
Are legacy financial exchanges the latest industry facing “disruption” from emerging technologies?
06/23/26
What were traders doing with put options when this energy stock staged an upside breakout?
06/22/26
Stocks shook off a Fed stumble to post a solid weekly gain, as tech regained its footing.
06/17/26
A tech stock’s sharp pullback following an exceptionally large short-term rally appeared to fit a historical pattern.
06/15/26
A back-and-forth week for stocks ended on an up note as traders navigated a host of competing catalysts.
06/11/26
What were traders watching as this stock’s volatility hit 52-week highs at the same time the stock traded to record levels?
06/10/26
Find out what traders were doing as this energy stock fell to a 20-month low.
06/04/26
The futures market is signaling shifting expectations for oil prices later this year.
06/03/26
Is recent options trading activity reflecting a bigger story in a tech stock still in a multi-year correction?
05/28/26
AI semiconductor leader’s earnings pattern doesn’t mean its long-term story isn’t intact.
05/26/26
Stocks absorb punches from yields and oil, S&P 500 extends rally to eighth week.
05/22/26
The stock market’s behavior at the beginning of the “summer” trading season has shifted over time.
05/21/26
The yellow metal’s 2026 downturn has dropped prices to potentially important technical level.
05/20/26
Is the negative “buzz” surrounding this energy supplier a potential contrarian signal?
05/18/26
Stock momentum slows as tech softens, materials retreat, and oil futures end week above $105.
05/15/26
Large options positions shine light on modestly traded biotech stock.
05/14/26
Do traders think the recent rallies in some lesser-known tech stocks indicate a “frothy” market, or is it just the next phase of the AI buildout story?
05/12/26
Will this pharma stock’s recent price milestones attract bargain-hunting traders?
05/08/26
Are fundamentals aligning with this stock’s attempt to rebound from a large monthly sell-off?
05/07/26
All trends come to an end—eventually—but that doesn’t mean timing tops and bottoms isn’t challenging.
05/05/26
There may have been more to this intraday rally than what originally met the eye.
04/27/26
As the bulk of the Magnificent 7 gets ready to report their numbers, the market is coming off another week of tech-fueled gains.
04/22/26
A retailer’s earnings sell-off appears to be an acceleration of an existing downtrend, but history suggests other possibilities.
04/21/26
Geopolitics may continue to jolt the markets, but early signs point to a potentially strong earnings season for stocks.
04/20/26
A soaring tech sector drove gains amid optimism about de-escalation in the Middle East.
04/16/26
What are the key stocks that may enter the orbit of the emerging “space economy?”
04/15/26
Options volatility in a rangebound biotech stock signals potential for market-moving events.
04/13/26
Stocks embraced a US-Iran ceasefire to notch one of their strongest two-week gains of the past few years.
04/10/26
Streaming company’s recent rebound will get a test from its upcoming earnings announcement.
04/09/26
How to help avoid being right about market direction wrong about an options position.
04/07/26
New report reviews how 2026 market themes have played out—and how they may be evolving.
04/06/26
The market notched its first up week since February, but continued to whipsaw amid shifting war narrative and soaring oil prices.
04/02/26
Historically, April has been one of the more consistently bullish months of the year.
03/30/26
The stock market extended its pullback amid continued uncertainties about the Iran war and high oil prices.
03/25/26
Companies that service commercial aircraft have seen their stocks pull back recently amid oil uncertainty.
03/24/26
Crude oil fell more on Monday than it has on any day in four years.
03/23/26
The stock market extended its pullback amid continued uncertainties about the Iran war and high oil prices.
03/19/26
Brand-name materials stock tests support as recent events test fundamentals.
03/17/26
Are the financial sector’s tailwinds poised to eclipse its perceived headwinds?
03/16/26
Slippery conditions for stocks amid climbing crude oil prices.
03/12/26
Until the geopolitical picture clears, stocks may continue to be susceptible to oil market volatility.
03/11/26
A large trader appeared to put open an options spread in this retail stock two days before earnings.
03/09/26
Market “risk off” amid climbing oil prices and surprising economic data.
03/05/26
Large options positions highlight trader interest in a regional bank stock.
03/04/26
Crude oil performance after surges like this week’s offer some useful market insights.
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