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New every Monday with last week’s recap and notes on the week ahead.

Last update: 08/24/2026

Stocks fell last week as a global bond sell-off pushed Treasury yields higher, with worries over $40 trillion in U.S. debt and elevated inflation outweighing the Treasury Department’s buyback plan. Fixed income weakened, the dollar slid, and Bitcoin and gold rallied. Data showed services-led growth and hiring improved as price pressures eased.

Stocks retreat as bond yields rise

  • U.S. equities retreated last week as a global bond sell-off raised concerns about higher borrowing costs and weaker demand for government bonds as safe assets. These concerns hurt investor confidence and weighed on risk appetite.
  • The S&P 500 Index fell 1.4% over the week to 7,674.
  • The Nasdaq Composite Index declined 2.1%.
  • The small-cap Russell 2000 Index fell 1.5%.
  • Semiconductors and other artificial intelligence-related stocks faced selling pressure.
  • Defensive sectors did better than the broader market, with Health Care and Materials gaining for the week.
  • Energy benefited from continued geopolitical uncertainty, which can support energy prices.

Treasury yields climb on U.S. debt worries

  • Long-term U.S. Treasury yields surged as investors focused on rising U.S. debt. Total U.S. public debt topped $40 trillion, an all-time high, and interest paid on U.S. Treasuries reached a new record of $85 billion in August.
  • Sticky inflation, debt issuance by large technology companies, and weak demand for Treasuries added upward pressure on yields.
  • Treasury Secretary Bessent said buybacks of longer-dated Treasury securities would at least double to help slow the rise in yields. The move initially supported Treasuries, but the relief did not last. Bond yields ended the week higher.
  • The two-year Treasury yield rose 7 basis points to 4.24% last week, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose 4 basis points to 4.73%.
  • The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield reached its highest level since 2007, closing Friday at 5.27%.

Dollar weakens as hedges rally

  • The U.S. Dollar Index fell to its lowest level since May.
  • The move appeared to reflect a “debasement trade,” in which investors seek assets that may hold value if confidence in paper currencies weakens.
  • Bitcoin surged 23% to $77,500.
  • Gold advanced more than 5% over the week to around $4,600 per ounce.
  • Gold’s move extended a month-long rally of more than 14%.

Fed minutes keep rate risks in focus

  • Minutes from the July 28–29 Federal Open Market Committee meeting showed a hawkish policy bias.
  • Policymakers appeared more focused on the risk that inflation stays too high than on the risk that the labor market weakens.
  • Many participants said more tightening would likely be needed if inflation did not decline, and some said current financial conditions may not be restrictive enough to bring inflation back to the 2% target.
  • Federal funds futures markets still priced in roughly one quarter-point rate hike by December 2026.

Services growth lifts business activity

  • S&P Global’s flash U.S. Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for August rose to 56.0, above consensus and the highest level in 52 months.
  • Services activity drove the improvement: The Services PMI rose to 56.8, beating expectations and reaching its fastest pace since December 2024.
  • The Manufacturing PMI fell to 53.2, below consensus. Manufacturing output growth slowed to a 13-month low.

CRC# 5861325 (08/2026)

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Cross-Asset Performance Table

Returns and prices of the most popular indexes and assets as of 08/21/26.

Cross Asset Performance table

1) Annualized 3-year % return. 2) Option Adjusted Spread (OAS): OAS is a measurement of the spread of a fixed income security rate and the risk-free rate of return, which is adjusted to take into account an embedded option. Equity risk premium is the excess return that an individual stock or the overall stock market provides over a risk-free rate. The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. Past performance is not indicative of future results.


S&P 500 Sector Performance

Health Care and Energy were the strongest S&P 500 sectors last week, while Industrials and Utilities lagged.

S&P Sector Performance chart

Past performance is not indicative of future results.


Russell U.S. Equity Style Performance

Large-cap stocks outperformed small caps.

Russell US Equity Style Performance table

Past performance is not indicative of future results.


U.S. Equity Valuation

S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium

Bonds continue to appear attractive relative to equities.

S&P 500 Equity Risk premium chart

Past performance is not indicative of future results.


P/E Relative to Rest of World

The S&P 500 remains expensive relative to the rest of the world.

P/E relative to the rest of the world chart

Past performance is not indicative of future results.


U.S. Fixed Income Valuation

The two-year Treasury yield increased 7 bps to 4.24% last week, while the 10-year yield rose 4 bps to 4.73%.

US Fixed Income Valuation table

†Interest Rate Volatility as measured by ICE BofAML Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE); *Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are debt obligations that represent claims to the cash flows from pools of mortgage loans, most commonly on residential property. Mortgage loans are purchased from banks, mortgage companies, and other originators and then assembled into pools by a governmental, quasi-governmental, or private entity; **Options Adjusted Spread (OAS): A measurement of the spread of a fixed income security rate and the risk-free rate of return, which is adjusted to take into account an embedded option. Past performance is not indicative of future results.


Latest Economic Data

S&P Global’s flash U.S. Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index for August rose to 56.0, above consensus and the highest level in 52 months. Services activity drove the improvement, even as manufacturing output growth slowed to a 13-month low.

Latest Economic Data table

The Week Ahead

The week ahead includes the Conference Board consumer confidence surveys for August and July personal consumption expenditures inflation data. Nvidia is scheduled to report earnings on Wednesday, as the second-quarter 2026 earnings season winds down. New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to speak Friday morning at the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.

  • Chicago Fed National Activity Index at 8:30 AM ET
  • ADP Weekly Employment Change at 8:15 AM ET
  • Richmond Fed Non-Manufacturing Index at 10:00 AM ET
  • U.S. new home sales at 10:00 AM ET
  • Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index at 10:00 AM ET
  • U.S. personal spending at 8:30 AM ET
  • U.S. personal income at 8:30 AM ET
  • U.S. PCE at 8:30 AM ET
  • U.S. durable goods orders at 8:30 AM ET
  • U.S. capital goods orders at 8:30 AM ET
  • NVIDIA reports earnings
  • U.S. initial and continuing jobless claims at 8:30 AM ET

Cross-Asset Performance

S&P 500: A market capitalization-weighted index of 500 widely held stocks often used as a proxy for the stock market. It measures the movement of the largest issues. Standard and Poor's chooses the member companies for the 500 based on market size, liquidity and industry group representation. Included are the stocks of industrial, financial, utility, and transportation companies. Since mid-1989, this composition has been more flexible and the number of issues in each sector has varied. The returns presented for the S&P 500 are total returns, including the reinvestment of dividends each month.

Dow Jones Industrial Average: Computed by summing the prices of the stocks of 30 companies and then dividing that total by an adjusted value—one which has been adjusted over the years to account for the effects of stock splits on the prices of the 30 companies. Dividends are reinvested to reflect the actual performance of the underlying securities.

NASDAQ Composite: Measures the performance of all issues listed in the NASDAQ Stock Market, except for rights, warrants, units, and convertible debentures. Morningstar reports the NASDAQ Composite as a price return.

MSCI Europe IMI: This index captures large, mid and small cap representation across 16 Developed Markets countries in Europe. With 1,372 constituents, the index covers approximately 99% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization across the Developed Markets countries of Europe.

MSCI Japan IMI: This index is designed to measure the performance of the large, mid and small cap segments of the Japan market. With 1,134 constituents, the index covers approximately 99% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in Japan.

MSCI EM (Emerging Markets) Index: A free float-adjusted market-capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index consists of the following 23 emerging market country indexes: Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Greece, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Qatar, Russia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey and United Arab Emirates. For more information, visit the MSCI web site.

MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, Far East) Index: A free float-adjusted market-capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of the following 21 developed market country indexes: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. For more information, visit the MSCI website.

S&P 400 Index: This index provides investors with a benchmark for mid-sized companies. The index measures the performance of mid-sized companies, reflecting the distinctive risk and return characteristics of this market segment.

S&P 600 Index: This index measures the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity market. The index is designed to track companies that meet specific inclusion criteria to ensure that they are liquid and financially viable.

S&P 500 Growth: This index is a style-concentrated index designed to track the performance of stocks that exhibit the strongest growth characteristics by using a style-attractiveness-weighting scheme.

S&P 500 Value: This index is a style-concentrated index designed to track the performance of stocks that exhibit the strongest value characteristics by using a style-attractiveness-weighting scheme.

Bloomberg Commodity Index: Made up of 22 exchange-traded futures on physical commodities. The index currently represents 20 commodities, which are weighted to account for economic significance and market liquidity.

US Trade-Weighted Dollar Index: A weighted average of the foreign exchange value of the US dollar against a subset of the broad index currencies that circulate widely outside the US.

MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index: sets the weights of each currency equal to the relevant country weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

Bloomberg US Aggregate Index: The US Aggregate Index covers the dollar-denominated investment-grade fixed-rate taxable bond market, including Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS pass-through securities, asset-backed securities, and commercial mortgage-based securities. These major sectors are subdivided into more specific sub-indices that are calculated and published on an ongoing basis. Total return comprises price appreciation/depreciation and income as a percentage of the original investment. This index is rebalanced monthly by market capitalization.

Bloomberg US Corporate High Yield Bond Index: This index is composed of fixed-rate, publicly issued, non-investment grade debt.

S&P Sector Performance

The S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the consumer discretionary sector.

The S&P 500 Consumer Staples sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the consumer staples sector.

The S&P 500 Energy sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the energy sector.

The S&P 500 Financials sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the financial sector.

The S&P 500 Health Care sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the health care sector.

The S&P 500 Industrials Sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the industrials sector.

The S&P 500 Information Technology Sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the information technology sector.

The S&P 500 Materials Sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the materials sector.

The S&P 500 Communications Services Sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the telecommunications services sector.

The S&P 500 Utilities Sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the utilities sector.

The S&P 500 Real Estate Sector comprises those companies included in the S&P 500 that are classified as members of the real estate sector.

US Equity Style Performance

Weekly and monthly style performance charts use Russell 1000, Russell Mid Cap, and Russell 2000 style indexes to represent large cap, mid cap, and small cap respectively.

Russell 1000: Consists of the 1000 largest companies within the Russell 3000 index. Also known as the Market-Oriented Index, because it represents the group of stocks from which most active money managers choose. The returns we publish for the index are total returns, which include reinvestment of dividends. Frank Russell Company reports its indexes as one-month total returns.

Russell 1000 Growth: Market-capitalization weighted index of those firms in the Russell 1000 with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell 1000 includes the largest 1000 firms in the Russell 3000, which represents approximately 98% of the investable US equity market.

Russell 1000 Value: Market-capitalization weighted index of those firms in the Russell 1000 with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell 1000 includes the largest 1000 firms in the Russell 3000, which represents approximately 98% of the investable US equity market.

Russell 2000: Consists of the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 7% of the Russell 3000 total market capitalization. The returns we publish for the index are total returns, which include reinvestment of dividends.

Russell 2000 Growth: Market-weighted total return index that measures the performance of companies within the Russell 2000 Index having higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell 2000 Index includes the 2000 firms from the Russell 3000 Index with the smallest market capitalizations. The Russell 3000 Index represents 98% of the of the investable US equity market.

Russell 2000 Value: Market-weighted total return index that measures the performance of companies within the Russell 2000 Index having lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell 2000 Index includes the 2000 firms from the Russell 3000 Index with the smallest market capitalizations. The Russell 3000 Index represents 98% of the of the investable US equity market.

Russell Midcap: Measures the performance of the 800 smallest companies in the Russell 1000 Index, which represent approximately 25% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 1000 Index. As of the latest reconstitution, the average market capitalization was approximately $4.0 billion; the median market capitalization was approximately $2.9 billion. The largest company in the index had an approximate market capitalization of $12 billion.

Russell Midcap Growth: Market-weighted total return index that measures the performance of companies within the Russell Midcap Index having higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell Midcap Index includes firms 201 through 1000, based on market capitalization, from the Russell 3000 Index. The Russell 3000 Index represents 98% of the of the investable U.S. equity market.

Russell Midcap Value: Market-weighted total return index that measures the performance of companies within the Russell Midcap Index having lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell Midcap Index includes firms 201 through 1000, based on market capitalization, from the Russell 3000 Index. The Russell 3000 Index represents 98% of the of the investable U.S. equity market.

P/E Relative to Rest of World

TOPIX: This free-floated-adjusted index tracks all domestic companies of the exchange’s First Section.

US Fixed Income Valuation

ICE BofAML Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE): A yield curve-weighted index of the normalized implied volatility on one-month treasury option.

An investment cannot be made directly in a market index.

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